Can you predict the Nobel Prizewinners in Chemistry & Physics by counting citations? Apparently not:
Since this is an election year, it's interesting to note that 61 Nobel Laureates (including 22 physicists) -- the highest ever -- support Barack Obama for President:
Perhaps it's because Obama/Biden actually have a cogent science policy, and happen to believe scientists when they talk about evolution or global warming.
Interestingly, Reuters seems to think citations count for potential Nobel prizewinners:
They think the contenders are:
- Vera Rubin at Carnegie Institute in Washington for her work on Dark Matter
- Andre Geim and Kostya Novoslev for Graphene
Physics World offers the following candidates:
- Daniel Kleppner at MIT for inventing the hydrogen maser
- Berkeley’s Saul Perlmutter and Brian Schmidt at the Australian National University for their discovery that the universe’s rate of expansion is increasing…leading to the concept of dark energy
- MIT's Alan Guth and Andrei Linde at Stanford University for their work on inflation
- Chapman University's Yakir Aharanov for the Aharanov-Bohm effect and Michael Berry at the University of Bristol for the Berry phase -- the AB effect being related to the Berry phase
- John Pendry of Imperial College and Duke University's David Smith for their prediction and discovery of negative refraction
- Roger Penrose at Oxford University and Cambridge's Stephen Hawking for their contributions to general relativity theory and cosmology
- Atsuto Suzuki from Japan's SuperKamiokande experiment and Art MacDonald from SNO in Canada for their work on neutrino oscillations
Update: Nambu (of the Nambu-Goto action for bosonic string theory), Kobayashi and Masakawa (of the Cabbibo-Kobayashi-Masakawa matrix which describes flavor-changing weak decays) share the Nobel prize for Physics in 2008, quite deservedly, for discovery of spontaneous symmetry breaking.